George Joffé
Abstract
In October 2011 the Libyan civil war had effectively come to an end. Tripoli had fallen two months before and the National Transitional Council announced its victory and promised Libyans a hopeful democratic future. The formal plans for the next phase of Libya´s revolution are well-known for they had been promulgated long before military victory was achieved. Nevertheless, the plans for the future can only go forward provided a set of initial conditions, chief amongst them the restoration of security under the Council´s control, are satisfied first. The article analyses the prospects for a successful political transition in Libya.